Does he have a chance?

I have a Chinese friend who is quite skilled in this area. Does he have a chance to participate in the competition?

Welcome to the forums!

I am not a lawyer, so you may wish to check for yourselves, but residents of Mainland China are not listed as being able to participate according to the rules.

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According to the official rules, residents of China are not eligible to participate in the Gemini API Developer Competition. Participants must be legal residents of one of the 50 United States, Washington D.C., or one of the listed eligible countries/territories.

You can find the official rules of the Gemini API Developer Competition on the competition website at Join the Gemini API Developer Competition  |  Google for Developers.